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Sunday, 09 August 2015 06:41

Fantasy Baseball Gurus: Add/Drop Advice - August 9, 2015

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The Fantasy Baseball Gurus of the CLNS Radio Red Sox Beat Team have you covered with add/drop advice for this week of August 9, 2015 to continue your push for the playoffs. Our panel consists of Red Sox beat writers Jess Thomas, Adam Belue, Lauren Campbell, and Lars Gjesteby. Based on recent performances and season-long trends, each columnist has chosen two players to add to give your team a boost, as well as two players who are performing poorly and ought to be dropped. 

Please note that some analysis may have been done prior to games on Sunday August 9, 2015.

Adds:

1. Paulsen has come on strong recently for the Rockies in 2015. He is hitting .295 with 8 homers and 35 RBI in total for the season, but more impressive is what he has accomplished of late. In the last 30 days, Paulsen is hitting .316 and he has collected 16 RBI in that span with three dingers. He had 6 RBI in the first three days of August. He is only owned in 30.2% of ESPN leagues, so if you are looking for someone who is hot, pick up Paulsen. He can also play multiple positions, which benefits some owners.

2. Somehow, Eovaldi is owned in less than 1/3 of ESPN leagues, despite the fact that his record is 11-2. He has had success quietly for New York, and although his ERA for the season is 4.15, he has had more success of late, as his ERA stands at 3.23 in the last 30 days. Eovaldi has not a lost a game since June 16 and has not given up more than 3 earned runs since that game. This guy needs to be on rosters to make a late playoff push.

3. The knuckleballer has finally regained his form on the hottest team in the American League, surrendering just eight runs over his last six starts. In his last outing on Friday night against the AL East leading Yankees, Dickey went seven strong innings, giving up just one run in a no-decision. In his previous start against the Royals, he gave up just two hits over seven innings against the best team in the AL. Dickey's 6-10 record and ERA just under 4.00 has probably scared off many fantasy owners, as he is only currently claimed in half of ESPN's leagues. But anytime you can pick up a pitcher who has a 2.39 ERA over his last seven starts, with a tremendous offense on his team, you need to claim him immediately, especially if you are in a playoff race.

4. Shoemaker is another case of a player whose season stats are not indicative of the hot streak he is currently on, which makes him an instant add in your fantasy league. Shoemaker has gone six straight starts without giving up more than two runs, which has lowered his ERA from 5.20 to 4.01 in a little over a month of work. He currently has a streak of 20 straight scoreless innings pitched, and he has 28 strikeouts during that span. Somehow, a guy with those stats is only owned in 45% of ESPN leagues, so if he is available in your league, pick him up now before someone else reads this.

5. Peterson will likely be a regular in the Braves lineup with Juan Uribe and Kelly Johnson no longer with the team. Through his last seven games, Peterson has .385 with six runs scored, seven RBI and two home runs. You should really grab him especially if you have Joe Panik or Jason Kipnis who are both on the DL and need a replacement.

6. Kahnle was officially named the Rockies closer this weekend after John Axford was axed from the role. He got his first save against the Washington Nationals over the weekend and has pitched well all season. He has a 2.60 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP with a 35:17 K:BB ratio. The walks may be a little high but through 27.2 innings, the strikeouts are great. He's also not widely owned in many leagues.

7. Since returning from the DL in early July, Schoop has been hitting well and has flashed his power multiple times. Over the last 30 days, his average is .356 (26-for-73) with 4 homers and 10 RBI. His OPS is also .961 in that span, which is very respectable for a second baseman. Schoop has earned consistent playing time and should continue to be in the starting lineup for Baltimore going forward. If your team is weak at second base, Schoop is a solid replacement.

8. Castillo has had a power surge over the past 15 days, hitting 7 long balls with 10 RBI and a 1.392 OPS. His offense production has been solid when looking back to the last 30 days too, as he has hit .299 (20-for-67) with an OPS of 1.046. His season average is still .249, so it’s hard to know whether the hitting is sustainable, but at the very least the power cannot be ignored. He is a good option at catcher if you are in need of a slugger there.

Drops:

1. Vogt has an unbelievable start to the season, but his numbers have been freefalling for a while at this point. In his last 30, he is hitting a paltry .155 and he is 2 for his last 17. He is still owned by 84% of ESPN users, but he is providing little to no offense and there are better first basemen and catchers on the market.

2. Sanchez has struggled his last three starts, unable to pick up a W in any of those starts. His season ERA is nearly at five, currently at 4.82. He is only 10-9 and has given up 10 runs combined in his last two starts. He is a good pitcher historically, but he has not been producing when owners need him right now, and there are better options on the free agent list.

3. Storen was 29-for-31 in save opportunities this season with a 1.64 ERA before the Nationals traded for Jonathan Papelbon at the deadline. Papelbon immediately became the Nats' closer, moving Storen to a setup role. After retiring nine of his first ten batters as the setup man, Storen has blown up over his last two outings, giving up six runs in just two innings of work. His ERA has ballooned from 1.52 to 2.70 in that timeframe, and he is in danger of being removed from eighth inning duty on a team that is in a freefall at the wrong time of the season. Setup men should rarely be owned in fantasy leagues, yet Storen is still owned in almost 68% of leagues. Cut him now before he costs you a playoff spot with another terrible outing.

4. Let's face it; Sandoval has not been good this season. He's currently hitting just .257 on the season, with nine homers and only 35 RBIs in 98 games played. His batting average, slugging percentage, and on-base percentage this season are all drastically lower than his career numbers, and he may see some time off down the stretch due to a thumb injury and the poor performance of his team. The Panda was drafted in every league to start the season due to high expectations, but should be dropped in every league (currently owned in around 60% of leagues) due to his terrible play this year.

5. Coming to the Dodgers from the Braves at the deadline, Johnson was brought in as the set-up man, but with his last appearance the game was tied 4-4 and he loaded the bases without recording an out. He hasn't pitched terrible this season but has been ineffective. 

6. Although he had a decent night against the Marlins on Saturday, don't expect it to last. Although his defense is amazing and he will be a regular in the lineup, his productive nights are few and far between.

7. The Moose has really struggled since the All-Star break, and over the past 30 days he’s hitting just .188 (16-for-85) with an on-base percentage of .276. He has hit 3 homers with 9 RBI in that span, but his overall performance at the plate is too poor to warrant owners in 73% of ESPN leagues keeping him. Moustakas has also battled a knee injury recently and his durability going forward remains a question mark. If he is on your roster, seek other options.

8. Hamilton has struggled at the plate all year, and the past 30 days have shown no improvement with his .213 average and .469 OPS in that span. He can't steal bags if he isn't getting on base. The Reds outfielder has just 9 hits in his last 45 at-bats (.200) and has not homered since May 15th. His meager 5 RBI since June 24th is also not enough to justify ownership for just one category, and yet he continues to remain on teams in 92% of ESPN leagues. The writing is on the wall for Hamilton: drop.

 

If you want MORE coverage of your team, check out Red Sox Beat Podcast here on CLNS Radio! The latest episode is below and check us out on ITUNES as well!

Lars Gjesteby

Lars Gjesteby is a writer/reporter for the Boston Red Sox Beat Team of CLNS Radio.

He graduated from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) in 2014 with a Bachelor of Science in biomedical engineering and is currently pursuing a PhD. Lars works to improve hardware and software for medical imaging systems, including x-ray CT and MRI. 

You can follow him on Twitter @LahzG

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