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Sunday, 26 July 2015 19:57

Fantasy Baseball Gurus: Add/Drop Advice - July 26, 2015

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The Fantasy Baseball Gurus of the CLNS Radio Red Sox Beat Team have you covered with add/drop advice for this week of July 26, 2015 to continue your push for the playoffs. Our panel consists of Red Sox beat writers Jess Thomas, Adam Belue, Lauren Campbell, and Lars Gjesteby. Based on recent performances and season-long trends, each columnist has chosen two players to add to give your team a boost, as well as two players who are performing poorly and ought to be dropped. 

Please note that some analysis may have been done prior to games on Sunday July 26, 2015.

 

Adds:

1. Castellanos has had a rough season to date and certainly has been disappointing overall, but he has been hot lately. He has clobbered three bombs in the last week to go along with eight RBI and has three multi-hit games. He has been getting base and scoring runs and seems to have turned a corner for the Detroit Tigers. Pick him up while he’s hot, as he is only owned in 14.7% of ESPN leagues.

2. That’s right. I’m picking Rick Porcello, who has been one of the worst pitchers in the league for the Red Sox this season. But, he has given us reason recently to believe that he is turning his year around. Nearly all fantasy owners have dropped Porcello, but he has given up two, two and one run in his last three starts and has been going deeper into games. He had a historically bad first half, so he is bound to give you some good numbers for the stretch run of your fantasy season.

3. Yes, I know the sample size is small, but Conforto should be owned in all fantasy leagues even though he's been in three MLB games in his career. The Mets' 1st round pick in 2014, Conforto tore up the minors this season, hitting .283 in A ball and .312 in Double-A before the call-up. With Michael Cuddyer on the disabled list with a knee injury that could possibly keep him out for the season, and the Mets offense being one of the worst in the majors, Conforto is all but guaranteed to see everyday at-bats in the middle of the lineup. He may not have the national hype that other top prospects did when they were called up, but if his 4-for-4 performance on Saturday was any indication, Conforto could be the spark for both the Mets and your fantasy team in playoff pushes. 

4. Another 2014 1st round draft pick, Schwarber has mashed the ball in both of his stints with the Cubs this season. He made his MLB debut on June 16th, and hit .364 with one homer and six RBIs in six games before being demoted to Triple-A Iowa. He returned last week, and continued his torrid hitting, blasting two home runs - one in the ninth inning to tie the game and one in the 13th to win the game - against the Reds on July 21st. He won't keep his .396 average up for the rest of the season, but his performance at the plate is going to make it impossible for the Cubs to send him back down again. The catcher position is always thin in fantasy, so if you are in one of the 28% of leagues that haven't claimed him yet, grab him immediately.

5. Ross was called up to the Nationals again and you can expect his next start to be just as good, if not better, than his other MLB starts. If you're looking to add pitching depth, then Ross is your guy. He may not get a lot of starts with Stephen Strasburg expected to return from the DL soon, but he's worth the pick up. Through three starts, Ross has a 2.66 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP and a 23:2 strikeout to walk ratio.

6. Ever since he returned the rotation after going down with left bicep tendinitis, Duffy has been the pitcher the Royals knew he was all along. He may not be a "wow factor" but he's effective and that's what matters. Duffy hasn't even started 70 career games and has a 3.78 ERA with. 1.37 WHIP. Through his last four starts, Duffy has averaged seven innings pitched, three strikeouts, five hits and two earned runs. He's getting the job done, and with a team that can score runs and just lost Jason Vargas, someone to get the job done is what the team needs.

7. Odor has been spicy hot of late, hitting .375 (33-for-88) over the past 30 days with 5 homers and 15 runs driven in. He has scored 16 runs and his OPS is a whopping 1.124 in that span. The Rangers second baseman has shown no signs of slowing down his production, and if your league is one of the 46% in which he is not owned, go add him!

8. Tucker has seen more regular playing time with George Springer on the DL for the Astros. Over the last 30 days, the outfielder is hitting .289 (24-for-83) with 5 homers and 11 RBI. His OPS is a solid .860. With Springer still likely a month away from returning, Tucker can be a formidable source of power and production in the short term.

Drops: 

1. Walker had a good start to the season, but has really struggled recently, not picking up a win since July 1st. In his last three outings, he gave up a combined 16 earned runs while not going deep into games. He is a very streaky pitcher, and there are many better pitchers you could grab at this time of year.

2. Jimenez is still owned in over 50% of ESPN leagues, but it is time for those owners to get him off their teams. Jimenez has been terrible in his last two starts, giving up seven earned runs in each of those starts. He only lasted 2.1 and 4.2 innings in his last two outings, sticking up the joint to perfection. Get Ubaldo off your team as fast as you can if you still own him!

3. Bauer is one of the most frustrating players in baseball, both in fantasy and in reality. He has all the potential to be an ace, yet he has never strung together more than a few quality starts in his career. And when he has an off day, it can get really bad really fast. In his last ten starts, he has five starts with more than six innings pitched and two or fewer runs allowed, and five starts with four or more runs allowed in six innings or less. His ERA has jumped from 3.02 to 4.29 over that span, and his record went from 4-1 to 8-7 overall. There is no pattern to his good or bad starts, which makes starting him on your fantasy team a huge risk without much reward.

4. Paredes forced his way into the Orioles lineup in late April, and then started in every game in the month of May. He may have forced his way out of at-bats during the last month, hitting just .186 in July, with 23 strikeouts to just 11 hits in the month. Paredes has not hit a home run since July 1st, and his three-month hot streak has definitely come to an abrupt ending. With the Orioles struggling and falling out of contention in the weak AL East, the team will probably look to give some younger players a chance in the outfield instead of Paredes, who has been a fourth outfielder throughout his five-year career. The time is now to move on from Paredes and find a better option in the outfield.

5. Fister is 1-5 in his last seven starts and has an ERA of 4.50. In his last start, he lasted five innings, giving up four runs on nine hits with six K's, which was a season high for him. With his inconsistency, he's not worth keeping on your team.

6. Wednesday was the worst start of Montgomery's career. He allowed eight runs, six of them earned, gave up six hits and five walks all in 2.2 innings of work. Thirty-nine of his 76 pitches were strikes - so he had very little control of his pitches. He's 4-4 with a 3.25 ERA and he hasn't won a game since July 5.

7. Castro has been lost at the plate all year, but the past 30 days have been abysmal. He is just 14 for his last 92 (.152) in that span with on-base and slugging percentages both less than .200. That is just awful. His 5 RBI are not even close to enough to justify keeping on your team. The 79% of ESPN owners need to seek an alternative immediately.

8. Gallardo has gone less than 6 innings in his past four starts with three losses. In those 18.2 innings, he has allowed 14 runs and 15 walks. The command he showed in four consecutive scoreless starts prior to the All-Star break has totally vanished, and Gallardo seems to be lost on the mound. He no longer has a useful place on the 52% of teams in ESPN leagues.

 

If you want MORE coverage of your team, check out Red Sox Beat Podcast here on CLNS Radio! The latest episode is below and check us out on ITUNES as well!

Lars Gjesteby

Lars Gjesteby is a writer/reporter for the Boston Red Sox Beat Team of CLNS Radio.

He graduated from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) in 2014 with a Bachelor of Science in biomedical engineering and is currently pursuing a PhD. Lars works to improve hardware and software for medical imaging systems, including x-ray CT and MRI. 

You can follow him on Twitter @LahzG

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