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Sunday, 28 June 2015 17:28

Fantasy Baseball Gurus: Add/Drop Advice - June 28, 2015

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The Fantasy Baseball Gurus of the CLNS Radio Red Sox Beat Team have you covered with add/drop advice for this week of June 28, 2015. Our panel consists of Red Sox beat writers Jess Thomas, Adam Belue, Lauren Campbell, and Lars Gjesteby. Based on recent performances and season-long trends, each columnist has chosen two players to add to give your team a boost, as well as two players who are performing poorly and ought to be dropped. 

Please note all analysis was done prior to games on Sunday June 28, 2015.

 

Adds:

1. After seeing his average drop at the beginning of the season, Granderson has slowly but surely brought his average up to .255 with the 7-game hitting streak he currently owns. In that span, he has clobbered 5 home runs while picking up 11 hits. He is only owned in 56% of ESPN leagues, so don’t wait and miss out on a blazing hot Curtis Granderson.

2. Hutchison is toting a 7-1 record, but don’t let the record deceive you, as his ERA is very high, at 5.33. But since getting clobbered by Boston in June 12, Hutchison has thrown two quality starts and picked up two more wins. If you can deal with some inconsistencies, he is a guy who pick up some wins for your ballclub and keep the ERA down if he can keep the ball down.

3. Young got off to a torrid start to the season, hitting .305 in the month of April with five homers and an OPS of over 1.000. The Yankees had to shuffle their lineups daily in order to make room for Young, who was supposed to be a fourth outfielder but forced his way into a starting role. He struggled mightily in May and early June, as his average plummeted to .220 as late as June 15th. He only made regular appearances in the Yankees lineup thanks to the growing list of outfield injuries this season. Now he is on a 10-game hitting streak, raising his average back to .273 while hitting three homers and nine RBIs. With Jacoby Ellsbury headed to a rehab stint soon, the Yankees may have to figure out how to get Young regular at-bats again real soon, especially if he continues to hit at his current pace. Young is currently owned in just 10.4% of ESPN fantasy baseball leagues.

4. Montgomery is coming off a complete game, five-hit shutout of the Kansas City Royals on Tuesday night, so even though he is only owned in around 16% of leagues he might be gone quickly. Montgomery was a top prospect a few years ago for those Royals, but his minor league numbers were subpar at best. He was part of the Wil Myers-James Shields deal with Tampa Bay, then moved to Seattle prior to this season for Erasmo Ramirez. In five starts this season, he has four quality outings, giving up two or fewer runs in all but one start. He wasn't striking out many batters until Tuesday night, but picked up 10 Ks and threw 77 strikes to just 28 balls. He goes deep into games, he doesn't walk many batters, and his WHIP is under 1.00 through five games. In a year full of young, hyped starting pitchers, Montgomery could be a fantasy steal, and it's time to claim him before someone else in your league does.

5. For two consecutive starts, Estrada flirted with a no-hitter. Wednesday's start he went 8.2 innings and striking out 10. He's 5-3 with a 3.45 ERA.

6. Valbuena has six home runs in the last 10 games, including two on Tuesday when he went 3-for-5 with three RBI and three runs scored. His average is only .197 but continues to have one of the best power seasons for a sub .200 hitter.

7. Leake is trending upwards with back-to-back 7-inning outings, allowing zero and two earned runs in each of those. In his last five starts, he has allowed no more than three runs and collected three wins over that span. Leake may allow guys to reach base, but he has been impressive in working out of jams lately.

8. Turner has been on an absolute tear over the past two weeks, hitting .333 (15-for-45) with 6 homers and driving in 12 runs. His on-base percentage is .412 and his on-base plug slugging (OPS) is a whopping 1.256 in that span. He is only owned in 55% of ESPN leagues, so if he is still available be sure to grab him.

 

Drops: 

1. Souza does have 14 home runs this season, but none in the last week and a half. When he is not hitting the long ball, his numbers are not worth keeping on your fantasy squad. He is only hitting at .221 and is 1 for his last 13. While in his slump, make sure to get Souza off your team, as he is still owned by 58% of ESPN users. 

2. You might think I’m crazy to tell you to drop Verlander, but this year’s Verlander is not the Verlander of old. He came back from the DL to pitch two starts and his second one was ugly. He gave up 10 hits and 6 runs over 6.2 inning and didn’t even have his strikeout pitches working. He is returning from the DL a second time on Tuesday, but his injury situation continues to be iffy and it would better for your fantasy team to have a more reliable, consistent and fully healthy starter.

3. Trumbo was supposed to be a power bat in the middle of the Mariners lineup when they traded for him in early June. He's proceeded to bat .167 with one homer and four RBIs in his first 21 games in Seattle. He could be getting readjusted to the American League, seeing pitchers for the first time in a few years. Or his lack of production could be caused by the ballpark in Seattle. Robinson Cano's numbers have taken a freefall since he moved to the great Northwest, so a slide in stats from Trumbo could be the norm. 

4. Yes, Gallo is still playing everyday even though Adrian Beltre is back in the lineup. The Rangers are trying to put him in the outfield instead of moving him back down to the minors due to his upside and huge power potential. That power was evident early as he hit a home run in his first two games, then hitting two more in back-to-back games on June 13th and 14th. The problem is if he's not hitting home runs then he's not really doing much else for your fantasy team. In his last nine games, he's just 5-for-30 with no homers, no RBIs, one walk, and 17 strikeouts. He's only batting .225 with an OPS of .753, and his on-base percentage is barely above .300. He's a very risky play in fantasy leagues, and should be dropped (but keep him on your radar in case he gets hot again).

5. Martinez was rocked in his last start for nine runs, eight of them being earned. He walked four and only struck out two.

6. For two straight starts, Simon has been less than spectacular. He's been inconsistent all season, going from decent starts to terrible starts. Despite a 7-4 record, he has a 3.57 ERA and the most batters he's struck out in a game was seven.

7. Choo is hitting just .225 on the season, and his average has plummeted 20 points since June 1st. He does have 32 RBI on the season, but has not driven anyone in since June 13th. He also has not homered since June 2nd and only has 8 on the year. The owners who have Choo in 52% of ESPN leagues should drop him promptly and seek better options in the outfield in terms of power and average.

8. Segura has hit a wall at the plate over the past two weeks. He is hitting just .184 with an on-base percentage under .200 and only has 4 RBI in that span. His average was .290 on June 6th, but has dropped to .264 since then. Owners should explore more consistency at the shortstop position in place of Segura.  

 

If you want MORE coverage of the Red Sox, check out Red Sox Beat Podcast here on CLNS Radio! The latest episode is below and check us out on ITUNES as well!

Lars Gjesteby

Lars Gjesteby is a writer/reporter for the Boston Red Sox Beat Team of CLNS Radio.

He graduated from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) in 2014 with a Bachelor of Science in biomedical engineering and is currently pursuing a PhD. Lars works to improve hardware and software for medical imaging systems, including x-ray CT and MRI. 

You can follow him on Twitter @LahzG

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