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Saturday, 20 June 2015 15:50

Fantasy Baseball Gurus: Add/Drop Advice - June 21, 2015

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The Fantasy Baseball Gurus of the CLNS Radio Red Sox Beat Team have you covered with add/drop advice for the week of June 21, 2015. Our panel consists of Red Sox beat writers Jess Thomas, Adam Belue, Lauren Campbell, and Lars Gjesteby. Based on recent performances and season-long trends, each columnist has chosen two players to add to give your fantasy team a boost, as well as two players who are performing poorly and ought to be dropped. 

Please note, all analysis was done prior to games on Sunday June 21, 2015.

Adds:

1. Ziegler got his first save for the D-Backs on May 21st against the Marlins and he has been hot ever since. He has 7 saves and a 1.29 ERA in June. Ziegler is not a strikeout pitcher, but he will get outs and not give up runs, which is all you can ask for in a closer. He has been the best reliever for Arizona this year and is really finding his stride at age 35. Pick up Ziegler while he is hot because he is only owned in 39% of ESPN leagues.

2. Colabello is 31 years old, but spent a number of years in the minor league. Born in Framingham, MA, Colabello has been tearing it up this year to the tune of a .345 batting average with 5 HR and 24 RBI for the Jays in 41 games. He has been hot the entire year and still isn’t owned in 32% of ESPN leagues, so grab him!

3. It is time to hop on the Brockstar bandwagon. He's batting .408 with an OPS of 1.133 in the last 15 days, and it is abundantly clear that manager John Farrell is going to get him in the lineup every day while he is this productive. With Dustin Pedroia currently nursing a knee injury, Holt has been playing second base, but when The Laser Show returns there are still a number of underperforming Sox players who could be benched in favor of Holt. He's not going to bat .382 with an OBP of nearly .500 every month like he is in June, but he needs to be owned in more than 21% of ESPN leagues, as he is right now.

4. After one of the worst starts to a season in recent memory, Walker has picked up three wins in his last four outings (all quality starts). His ERA is still high, currently sitting at 5.00, but when you have two starts of less than four innings and eight or more runs allowed, it will take a long time to get your ERA back to respectable levels. Those disastrous outings, along with his inconsistency and poor record, left him in the free agent pool in many leagues. But he has gone 29 innings in his last four starts, allowing just five earned runs while striking out at least nine batters in each, which should get him picked up in more than 41% of ESPN leagues.

5. Prior to Saturday, Ray had 24.2 innings pitched, only giving up three earned runs. His ERA was 1.09 and in his last start he threw 7 shutout innings only giving up two hits. On Saturday he gave up three runs on six hits, but also struck out seven, which is a promising sign going forward.

6. In the four-game set against the Mariners, Duffy went 7-for-16, with a homer and five RBI. His average for that set was .438. He continued collecting RBIs with two in Friday's game against the Dodgers.

7. Travis d'Arnaud has gone 8-for-30 (.267) with 2 HR and 7 RBI in 8 games since returning on June 10 from a nearly 2-month stint on the DL with a broken finger. Unfortunately, on Saturday (June 20) he hyperextended his elbow in a collision at the plate, but is listed as day-to-day and will hopefully return soon. Once cleared to play again, d’Arnaud will look to build on the 4 HR and 17 RBI he has amassed in just 19 games while hitting .296. If you are in need of a catcher who can hit for average and drive in runs, d’Arnaud is an attractive option.

8. Gallardo has gone at least 6.0 innings over his last five starts and allowed no more than two runs and five hits per start (including two scoreless outings). During that span, owns a record of 3-0 with a 1.41 ERA and 0.94 WHIP, as well as a K/9 ratio of 8.16. Gallardo may have been overlooked in most leagues due to a shaky start, but is a sure-add with his recent performances. He is slated to start Sunday June 21.

 

Drops:

1. Harang is up there in age now at 37, but he was effective to start the year, enough to even have me pick him up for a brief spell. But the fact that he is on the worst team in baseball doesn’t help his cause much. Coming into Saturday, Harang had lost 5 straight games, giving up four or more runs in three of those outings. His value is dropping fast and you should be dropping him just as fast if you own him, as 45% of users do.

2. Andrus really just doesn’t have much value at this point. He has really dropped off as a hitter, only batting a weak .238 this year. Usually his average was his best quality for fantasy purposes, considering he does not hit many HR’s or knock in many ribbies. Since his average is garbage, it is time for you to send Elvis to the waiver wire for someone else to struggle with.

3. Cashner was the victim of some of the worst run support in the league, as his solid 3.24 ERA got him a 1-7 record into mid May. Then after two quality starts that lowered his ERA under 3.00 and got him picked up in many leagues, he has been awful in June. In four starts covering 22 innings, Cashner has given up 22 runs (19 earned) on 30 hits and 12 walks. His 7.77 ERA in June has ballooned his overall ERA to 4.24, and he's picked up just six strikeouts in his last three starts. A struggling pitcher with a history of injuries that gets little run support and doesn't strike anyone out should not be owned in fantasy leagues right now.

4. Hunter was defying the odds this season, sipping from the fountain of youth at age 39 to have a terrific month of May. Time may be catching up with him, and with the Twins loaded with young prospects, now is the time to drop Hunter. He batted .333 in May with six homers and 25 (yes 25!) RBIs, raising his overall average from .205 to .279. He is only batting .200 in June, with just five hits in his last ten games. Unless you get bonus points for colorful ejections, there has to be a better option in your fantasy lineup than Torii right now.

5. Belt is essentially only being kept in the lineup due to the Giants' lack of healthy outfielders. He's absolutely horrendous against left-handed pitchers and usually is benched when a lefty is on the mound.

6. Rollins' average dipped to .197 and sat out Wednesday's game after going 0-for-3 on Tuesday. He's 36, so maybe his age is starting to show. He has seven home runs and just 18 RBI on the season.

7. Polanco is owned in nearly 80% of ESPN leagues despite hitting just .243 with 3 HR and 17 RBI on the season. Over his last 12 games, he is hitting .132 (5-for-38) with no homers and just 2 RBI. He does have 17 stolen bases, but at this point the low average and lack of run production mean that Polanco ought to be dropped in favor of more lucrative outfielders for your team.

8. Ramirez is in the midst of the worst season of his career at the plate, hitting just .223 with 2 HR and 25 RBI on the year. Over his last 11 games, he’s 6-for-40 (.150) with only three runs driven in and two runs scored. He is still owned in over 50% of ESPN leagues, but the poor average and lack of production on a White Sox team that struggles to score runs make him a necessary drop from any team. There are much better options at shortstop, likely available on the waiver wire.

 

If you want MORE coverage of your team, check out Red Sox Beat Podcast here on CLNS Radio! The latest episode is below and check us out on ITUNES as well!
Lars Gjesteby

Lars Gjesteby is a writer/reporter for the Boston Red Sox Beat Team of CLNS Radio.

He graduated from Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) in 2014 with a Bachelor of Science in biomedical engineering and is currently pursuing a PhD. Lars works to improve hardware and software for medical imaging systems, including x-ray CT and MRI. 

You can follow him on Twitter @LahzG

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